Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 67.253378 75.839107 84.669644 94.400380 104.792363 115.529956 127.434859
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 53.923443 66.164195 79.372888 94.560752 111.421598 129.454266 150.087624
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 46.282614 60.547066 76.494626 95.388994 116.919881 140.468348 167.951637
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 39.420745 54.835147 72.649361 94.331925 119.608990 147.783903 181.209519
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 35.250667 51.745947 71.359670 95.772255 124.759280 157.555886 196.959970
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 32.004420 49.402478 70.636128 97.595689 130.121432 167.393266 212.651926
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 27.967074 45.651401 67.856722 96.649680 131.965307 172.961136 223.273854
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 23.901110 41.469551 64.209880 94.346659 131.932967 176.129293 230.937620
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 22.650569 40.976935 65.187567 97.733970 138.762761 187.400623 248.110590
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 21.168086 40.012740 65.438982 100.116505 144.300875 197.100340 263.424555
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 18.630876 37.298069 63.176882 99.115942 145.513570 201.499915 272.366996
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 16.319430 34.698927 60.897863 97.944684 146.392239 205.404209 280.648947
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 14.622516 32.916978 59.676453 98.138163 149.013625 211.494909 291.669650
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.101303 31.269911 58.542776 98.373111 151.641017 217.574391 302.685615
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 11.899498 30.027528 57.904317 99.211860 155.001328 224.535824 314.767714
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.329528 27.979999 55.949636 98.130165 155.770464 228.200746 322.768565
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.522855 27.206649 55.854329 99.605710 159.889546 236.075087 335.969931
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 8.873119 26.655332 56.056108 101.473702 164.518796 244.598601 349.994661
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 7.686593 24.932809 54.329646 100.504626 165.287919 248.171797 357.839922
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.366324 22.745838 51.722919 98.145096 164.086597 249.154342 362.395423
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.213239 22.996214 53.083066 101.615344 170.848202 260.414572 379.888930
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.892043 22.841998 53.753665 104.055553 176.200692 269.867545 395.133929
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.041473 21.376408 52.145173 103.030834 176.733620 273.040692 402.436164